![]() ![]() Paul thinks it will go through an intermediate phase (doubles within 4 years) before it gets to a truly crazy phase (doubles within 1 year). Right now world GDP doubles every ~25 years. That is - if any of this “transformative AI revolution” stuff is right at all, then at some point GDP is going to go crazy (even if it’s just GDP as measured by AIs, after humans have been wiped out). (Similarly, we’ll see an 8 year doubling before a 2 year doubling, etc.) There will be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles. Although the real story is scattered over several blog posts and chat logs, I’m going to summarize it as if it all happened at once. ![]() (I didn’t realize this until talking to Paul, but “holder of the gradualist torch” is a relative position - Paul still thinks there’s about a 1/3 chance of a fast takeoff.)Īround the end of last year, Paul and Eliezer had a complicated, protracted, and indirect debate, culminating in a few hours on the same Discord channel. The gradualist torch has passed to Paul Christiano, who wrote a 2018 post Takeoff Speeds revisiting some of Hanson’s old arguments and adding new ones. ![]() Since machine learning has progressed a lot faster than brain uploading has, this is looking less likely and probably makes his position less relevant than in 2008. But Robin’s ideas seem a bit weird now (they also seemed a bit weird in 2008) - he thinks AIs will start out as uploaded human brains, and even wrote an amazing science-fiction-esque book of predictions about exactly how that would work. If you come up with some way to measure (in dollars) whatever kind of crazy technologies AIs create for their own purposes after wiping out humanity, then the GDP framing will probably work fine.įor transhumanists, this debate has a kind of iconic status, like Lincoln-Douglas or the Scopes Trial. You can imagine the graph above as being GDP over time, except that Eliezer thinks AI will probably destroy the world, which might be bad for GDP in some sense. The whole process could take between a few hours and a few years, depending on what point you measured from, but it wouldn’t take decades. Once researchers started building human-like AIs, some combination of adding more compute, and the new capabilities provided by the AIs themselves, would quickly catapult AI to unimaginably superintelligent levels. Over the course of a few decades, you’ve invented lots of stuff and the world is changed, but there’s no single moment when “industrialization happened”.Įliezer thought it would be lightning-fast. Each new technology provides another jumping-off point for people to use when inventing other technologies: mechanical gears → steam engine → railroad and so on. Various people invent and improve various technologies over the course of decades or centuries. ![]() Robin thought the AI revolution would be a gradual affair, like the Agricultural or Industrial Revolutions. In 2008, thousands of blog readers - including yours truly, who had discovered the rationality community just a few months before - watched Robin Hanson debate Eliezer Yudkowsky on the future of AI. ![]()
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In addition, these players will unlock the Dark Purple Pearl and Red Prismatic Pearl Chameleon Paints for all HSW-eligible vehicles with the ability to apply either one for free. Plus returning players from PS4 and Xbox One will receive a complimentary all-new and fully HSW-upgraded Karin S95 after unlocking Hao’s Special Works. There are also five new vehicles releasing today on the latest generation consoles only the Coil Cyclone II, Karin S95, Imponte Arbiter GT, Pfister Astron Custom, and the Pegassi Weaponized Ignus, all of which are eligible for HSW upgrades and modifications. Starting today, HSW upgrades and modifications are available for the Übermacht Sentinel XS, Shitzu Hakuchou Drag, Grotti Turismo Classic, and Bravado Banshee. #IPHONE XS GRAND THEFT AUTO V IMAGE UPGRADE#Once you beat the par time, Hao’s shop will be unlocked for business, allowing you to purchase an HSW upgrade for eligible vehicles and then add a new range of modifications including groundbreaking acceleration, Chameleon Paint, and more. ![]() #IPHONE XS GRAND THEFT AUTO V IMAGE TRIAL#First, unlock Hao’s Special Works by taking his phone call and completing a time trial using a high-performing, HSW-modified vehicle. #IPHONE XS GRAND THEFT AUTO V IMAGE MOD#Plus, experience all-new enhancements to the dynamic and ever-evolving world of GTA Online, where you can rise from street-level hustler to become a kingpin of your own criminal empire.Įxclusive to the latest generation consoles, Hao has taken over the LS Car Meet’s Mod Shop to offer his services as a specialist customizer with Hao’s Special Works. Hear the sounds of the world with pinpoint precision: the throttle of a stolen supercar, the rattle of neighboring gunfire, the roar of a helicopter overhead, and more. Quicker access to the action as the world of Los Santos and Blaine County load in faster than ever before.įeel new levels of responsiveness with Haptic Feedback and dynamic resistance via the Adaptive Triggers on PlayStation 5's DualSense wireless controller, including weather effects, rough road surfaces, explosions, directional damage, and much more. Experience entertainment blockbusters Grand Theft Auto V and GTA Online on the latest generation of consoles - now available for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S through the PlayStation 5 console store and the Microsoft Store with a host of improvements and upgrades for new and returning players.Įxplore Los Santos and Blaine County in greater detail than ever before, now featuring:Įnhanced levels of fidelity and performance with three new detailed graphics modes to customize your gameplay experience - featuring up to 4K resolution, up to 60 frames per second, HDR options, ray tracing, improved texture qualities, and more. IPad 3, iPad 4, iPad Air, iPad iPad, iPad Mini 2, iPad Mini 3, iPad Mini 4, 9.Welcome back to Los Santos. #IPHONE XS GRAND THEFT AUTO V IMAGE PRO#IPhone 12 Pro Max, iPhone 13 Pro Max, iPhone 14 Plus: 1284x2778 IPhone Xs Max, iPhone 11 Pro Max: 1242x2688 ![]() IPhone X, iPhone Xs, iPhone 11 Pro: 1125x2436 IPhone 6 plus, iPhone 6s plus, iPhone 7 plus, iPhone 8 plus: 1242x2208 IPhone 6, iPhone 6s, iPhone 7, iPhone 8: 750x1334 IPhone 5, iPhone 5s, iPhone 5c, iPhone SE: 640x1136 IPhone: iPhone 2G, iPhone 3G, iPhone 3GS: 320x480 ![]() ![]() ![]() Now, thanks to a law passed by the California State Assembly, condoms cannot be a consideration when determining whether someone was furthering an act of prostitution. ![]() That meant police might accuse a licensed escort of soliciting prostitution just because they had sexual protection on their person, regardless of the actual intent. New Laws in California Regarding Evidence for Prostitutionīefore July 2019, merely having condoms was considered circumstantial evidence for prostitution. #Best escort websites 2020 licenseWhile license applications are easy to find, actually obtaining a license requires an extensive background check. Escorting without a license is itself grounds for arrest. While escorting is legal in California, doing so requires a license. If an escort agrees to sexual conduct or even describes what sexual acts they might perform to their client, they could face the criminal charge of soliciting prostitution. An escort agrees to either accompany a client to a social event or provide entertainment in exchange for money. Under the law, an escort is very different than a prostitute. Escorting in California: What is an Escort? Understanding the differences between escorting and prostitution can prevent legal misunderstandings or even criminal charges. Escorting, exchanging something of value for a date or someone’s time, is not illegal. Prostitution, described as exchanging sexual conduct for anything of value, is illegal in California. ![]() ![]() Keeps insurance premiums at acceptable levels.Determines if you will make an adequate profit on a particular project.Identifies project risks and quantifies the potential cost of each.Helps assess and ascertain project viability.Furthermore, studies highlight the following benefits of analysing risk in construction projects: However, when time is tight, conducting an exhaustive risk assessment may not always seem like the best use of resources. #Construction risk manager software#Health and safety risks: How software helps Benefits of systematic risk analysis in constructionĮvery project manager knows that construction work involves high levels of uncertainty. Respondents also believed that these risk events were most responsible for the poor quality of work, delays and associated losses. The study showed that from the twenty factors described above, design errors and design process delays were the most frequently mentioned risk factors. Contradictions in the construction documents.Failure to comply with contractual quality requirements.Lack of protection on a construction site.Inexperienced workforce and staff turnover.New alternatives required to avoid, mitigate or minimize environmental impact.New stakeholders emerge and request changes.Failure to carry out the works in accordance with the contract.The design process takes longer than anticipated.The study’s authors then interviewed 40 contractors to find out how they perceived each risk. 7 key risks in construction projectsĪn in-depth academic study of risks in construction projects identified seven key areas where building projects can be significantly derailed. Let’s learn more about managing risk in the construction industry. The best way of minimising risk in construction projects is to be fully prepared for everything that could go wrong. And project managers must deal with all the supply, weather and labour issues that other industries face too. Construction involves large numbers of independent companies working together. Meanwhile, agriculture’s biggest worries are the weather and pests.īut building is, by its nature, much more unpredictable. For example, the biggest threats to a manufacturer’s projects are supply shortages or labour problems. Other sectors also deal with fairly stable or predictable risks. If we compare construction to other industries, it quickly becomes clear why risk management is so much more complex for builders. 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London is just one of the cities included in our epic 21 best hostels in Europe guide. Gorge on amazing food, visit a traditional pub and make new friends from around the globe. It has everything imaginable for your entertainment. Guests must be aged between 18 and 35 years old.London is the capital city of England. There is an age restriction at this property. Due to Coronavirus (COVID-19), please ensure that you are only booking this property following the local government guidelines of the destination, including but not limited to the purpose of travel, and maximum allowed group size. Due to Coronavirus (COVID-19), this property has reduced reception and service operating hours. In response to Coronavirus (COVID-19), additional safety and sanitation measures are in effect at this property. 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![]() Marcan's last tweet about Byuu came a day after his first. Even right now, we cannot do a wellness check to see if he's alive. None of his personal information is in that thread. In the years that the Kiwi Farms (famous for 'doxing') had a thread on Byuu, no one had a first or last name for him. The document claims that this person had sushi with Byuu the week before.īyuu himself is anonymous. In the emails to me, Byuu claimed he had no real life friends. This is an unrealistic story described in such a way which does not hold up to scrutiny. No discussion, no attempts to stop him, no attempts to call welfare services. The document describes the music playing in the background, but nothing else. The Google Doc describes a preposterous scenario where a real life friend of Byuu was called late at night, and then he proceeded to sit on the phone for 30 minutes while his friend overdosed and killed himself. "The only source of this suicide is the Twitter user marcan42, who himself is a secondary source citing a totally anonymous person. He then goes on to state how there is no evidence to Near's death. With limited exception (Zoosadism and Nick Bate), there is no desire to see people harmed". #Near creator bsnes emulators has died tv#"The users on this website are ordinary people who want to watch the trash TV of the Internet. Stating that their rule about "no trolling plans" and otherwise not messing with people is not for liability and how the principle of "look, don't touch" is built into the zeitgeist of the community. He also mentioned how Kiwifarms is in fact not an "organized harassment site" designed to "drive people to suicide". And I'll lose a lot of support by simply posting here at all. I even defended Tom in the recent Goemon translation controversy, knowing that'd lose me support among my friends. #Near creator bsnes emulators has died free#I support free speech absolutely, even when it's speech I don't like, because silencing it only makes things worse. People do impersonate me (eg on Stormfront), so keep your guard up against any false flagging or white knighting, please. Send me an e-mail and I'll counter-claim it myself. If you ever get a DMCA or GDPR request or some bullshit on this, it's not me. Put it on a titanium disk and ship it into space. I'm not asking you to take it down, and I know you never would anyway. He also shows a message he left on the site as well which reads: "So sincerely, and only in my case and no one else's, thank you for the wake-up call here OP. ![]() ![]() In it, he mentions how Near was an active user on the site having a 13 page thread on the forum in which he participated in. On June 29th, Operator of Kiwifarms, Null, came out with his own response in regards to the situation. As of now, its unknown when Kiwi Farms will receive a class action lawsuit from Near's family or not. Many expressed their remorse for Near and disgust over Kiwi Farms' behavior. Hector ended the Google Doc blaming DreamHost (the Kiwi Farms domain registrar) and CloudFlare (the one that protects Kiwi Farms against attacks) for their death. This in turn broke Near and caused them to fall into a depression and end their own life. According to Hector, most were doxxed, some directly harassing others, and even specifically seeking out suicidal people to target. On June 27, Hector Martin Cantero (known for hacking several consoles, going under his username "marcan") released a Google Doc revealing that Near, creator of BSNES, Higan and Ares emulators, and their friends were continuously harassed by Kiwi Farms. You are a menace to the emulation community. Congratulations, Kiwi Farms, you officially have blood on your hands. ![]() ![]() Not practical for deposit account holdersįrom what I hear this app and Capital One as a whole is AMAZING for credit card holders but for those that own deposit accounts this app really isn’t that useful! I’ve been banking with Capital One for years and I can honestly say I miss a lot of the features the Capital One Wallet app used to provide. Overall I have no qualms about this app as it’s easy to use for the few basic things I need it to do, with the notifications thing being at the top of the list. Please fix!ĮDIT2 (14Jan2020): OK back to five stars for now! The notifications issue seems to have been resolved as the “Instant Purchase Notifications” are back to being “instant”. I have iOS and SMS notifications enabled for purchases and both have been arriving OVER TWLEVE HOURS AFTER the actual purchase time. It’s not very helpful, please look into why these delays are occurring.ĮDIT: reduced from 5 stars to 2 stars because the delays in the purchase notifications have gotten absurd. if my wife makes a purchase in the morning on her card I won’t see the transaction notification until the afternoon and I have to ask her if that was a legitimate transaction or not. However within the past week or so, these notifications have been arriving very late - like many hours after the transaction has occurred. I like that notifications can be configured and received for every transaction. I’ve been using this app for years and prefer it over competitor’s offerings. CAPITAL ONE PHONE NUMBER TO ACTIVATE A CARD LICENSETo read about the Terms of your download, check out the End User License Agreement. Zelle and the Zelle related marks are wholly owned by Early Warning Services, LLC and are used herein under license. Actual experiences may differ from those depicted. Features may not be available to all customers. CreditWise monitoring and alerts may not be available if the information you enter at enrollment does not match the information in your file at one or more consumer reporting agencies or you do not have a file at one or more consumer reporting agencies. Push, email, and SMS alerts and notifications, including purchase notifications, must be enabled to be received. Capital One customers are responsible for regularly checking their account statements. ![]() Check with your Internet service provider for details of specific fees and charges. Internet access is needed to use the mobile app. Get answers from Eno, your Capital One assistantĭownload the app for better banking with Capital One. Instantly lock your credit or debit card from anywhere See everything that happens on your card with detailed transactions Stay informed when you enable alerts and purchase notifications With the Capital One Mobile app, you can. Send and receive money with friends and family using Zelle® Activate a credit or debit card when you need it Check in on your credit with CreditWise ![]() Whether you’re out in the world or feeling right at home, you can manage your money with ease: Member FDIC.What’s on the Capital One Mobile app? All of your accounts, and so much more. ![]() Deposit products and related services are offered by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. "Chase Private Client" is the brand name for a banking and investment product and service offering, requiring a Chase Private Client Checking account.īank deposit accounts, such as checking and savings, may be subject to approval. JPMS, CIA and JPMCB are affiliated companies under the common control of JPMorgan Chase & Co. Certain custody and other services are provided by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (CIA), a licensed insurance agency, doing business as Chase Insurance Agency Services, Inc. Annuities are made available through Chase Insurance Agency, Inc. Morgan Securities LLC (JPMS), a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor, member FINRA and SIPC. Morgan Wealth Management is a business of JPMorgan Chase & Co., which offers investment products and services through J.P. Investing involves market risk, including possible loss of principal, and there is no guarantee that investment objectives will be achieved. ![]() is a wholly-owned subsidiary of JPMorgan Chase & Co. “Chase,” “JPMorgan,” “JPMorgan Chase,” the JPMorgan Chase logo and the Octagon Symbol are trademarks of JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() She then sent the pictures to Grant's phone, which Shelby saw, creating a rift between the couple and causing Shelby to come back to work with Paulette despite her earlier reservations. During this whole thing, a hooker paid by Paulette was drugging Grant (Shelby's husband) at a bar before taking him back to his house and taking suggestive pictures of him when he was passed out. But when Max removed his trunks whilst in the tub, Shelby panicked and left, upsetting Paulette again. Another night, she had Shelby meet with Max and goaded her into joining the sexually aggressive Max in the hot tub. She also gave Shelby a copy of her licensing test, allowing her to pass. Paulette picked up Shelby from her house to take her to show her the land property, briefly flashing back to herself murdering Beth. Later, Paulette met with Max to discuss the land property, and Max agreed to help her-if he received "perks" in the form of Shelby. The next day, Shelby won back Paulette by helping secure another deal. After arguing with her landlord over her late rent, Paulette had a breakdown in her "home". Paulette returned to her apartment complex, where it is revealed that she had rented out an employee's closet. Later on, Paulette convinced Shelby to pose as a possible buyer to land the house deal, but it failed when Shelby said she would buy for a higher price, disappointing Paulette. At her first open house with Paulette, Shelby had a run in with Walter, a brutish man that Paulette owed money from a business deal that went bad. THE PERFECT ASSISTANT LMN MOVIEThe opening of the movie showed her killing realtor Beth who was arranging to sell a land property Paulette had her eyes on, doing so by hitting her with a bat.Īfter teaching a class of budding realtors, Paulette was approached by Shelby Wilson and Paulette agreed to take her on as an intern. She was also the conspirator (and occasional lover) to investor Max. She was a notoriously ruthless realtor who was willing to go to any length-including scamming and murder-to get to the top. ![]() |
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